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002506股吧聊聊黑马股的特征
Admin 2020-08-19 17:14
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黑马股的早期技术特征主要表现在以下几个方面:
第一。形态。绝大多数的黑马股在起动之前都有一段较长的吸筹期。时间为1-4个月。甚至更长。表现在K线形态上。就是较长时间的横盘。对于这种横盘。应把握几个要点:一是位置。低位的横盘应在20度线附近。最好在20度线之下的一格左右徘徊。据统计。近年来的十几只飙升2-5倍的黑马股中。有70%是在20度线之下的一格左右横盘多日的。这表明做空的力量已经消耗殆尽。股价已经在超卖区基本站稳 二是筹码分布状况。低位的横盘并不代表庄家吸筹基本完成。若过早介入您的资金将被锁定相当长的一段时间。这在资金的全盘调度上是极不合算的。一般说来。若低位的筹码呈现松散状态。表明整个局势处于横盘吸筹的初期。后面的路程还很漫长。不必急于介入。到了横盘的后期。低位的筹码会在指标上形成极度压缩的情况。凡是压缩的越扁越长的。甚至形成了细线状的。更是佳选。因为此种品相不仅表明了横盘吸筹的基本完成。更表明了庄家超强的实力与决心。据统计。近年的大黑马股。其低位的筹码压缩程度都是相当紧密的。
第二。K线形状。黑马股在底部横盘时的K线形状往往具有鲜明的特色。不仅排列得十分紧密、整齐;而且呈现出一种碎粒状的样子。也被称为"小豆排列"。其实。"小豆排列"的情况相当常见。区别在于:黑马股的小豆排列一是位置低。与其他股的中高位横盘不一样;二是时间长。黑马股的小豆排列往往贯穿整个底部横盘时期。若在起动时采用 "小慢牛"的方式向上拉升。这种小豆排列的情况将长期延续。甚至会伴随股价升至令人难以置信的程度。小豆排列表明股价的振幅很小。庄家不仅掌握了较多的筹码。而且有较强的控盘能力。因此。有经验的股民常说:"不必慌不必忙。小豆拉起再跟上。"例如。东方明珠(600832)在启动前。就是典型的小豆排列。
第三。量能。绝大多数的黑马股在底部横盘时期的成交量均会大幅萎缩。在成交量指标上会形成均量线长期拉平的情形。犹如用细线穿起了一串珍珠。但应注意。直接目击测量虽然有着直截了当的效果。却不如用技术指标来得精确可靠。因为有的个股会出现成交量大幅萎缩。但量能指标仍没有调整到位的现象。能较为准确地观察到黑马股在起动前量能调整到位的状况。许多股评人士均看好绩优股。并认为绩优股已下跌多时。一定会在近期内有一波行情。但市场偏偏开了个大玩笔--当时的绩优股毫无起色。反而是一批垃圾股揭竿而起涨幅可观。究其原因就是当时的绩优股没有调整到位。而一批垃圾股不但成交量萎缩。而且OBV量能指标早已在底部匍匐多日。正所谓"蓄之愈久。发之必速"。其道理在于:任何庄家想要塑造出一匹黑马。就必须在底部握有相当的筹码。而OBV在底部横卧多时。恰恰是其吸筹的直接写照。一般说来。当股价第二次(有时是第三次)碰触到在下面横盘的OBV指标时。这匹预备役的黑马将在很短的时间内奋蹄而起。
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002506股吧
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